Modelling and Biostatistics Group

Head: Dr Nick Scott


Our dynamic, interdisciplinary team uses modelling to guide effective and cost-effective responses infectious diseases and global health problems. We are at the forefront of modelling across numerous thematic areas, including:

  • COVID-19
  • Hepatitis C
  • Hepatitis B
  • HIV
  • Tuberculosis
  • Malaria
  • Nutrition
  • Maternal, Newborn and Child health
  • Adolescent Health
  • Health systems and service delivery platforms

Our methodological approaches are adapted to the data available and key policy questions being addressed, and includes a variety of:

  • Deterministic and stochastic models
  • Population-level and agent-based models
  • Compartmental and network models
  • Costing studies
  • Cost-effectiveness analyses
  • Cost-benefit and return on investment analyses
  • Resource optimisation analyses
  • Analyses of large datasets using statistical and machine learning approaches

Discover more about Burnet’s modelling work in Episode 7 of our How Science Matters podcast


  • In a commentary for The Medical Journal of Australia published on 2 August 2021, authors Professor Allan Saul, Professor Brendan Crabb AC, Dr Campbell Aitken and Professor Margaret Hellard AM recommend the implementation of more consistent stringent restrictions across Sydney.


  • COVASIM: Modelling COVID-19

  • Decision science using Optima

  • HCV Elimination Modelling

  • Healthy Mothers, Healthy Babies

  • Hepatitis B Modelling

  • HMHB - Health Services for Postnatal and Infancy Care

  • Modelling for evidence-based national hepatitis B testing plans

  • Optima HIV Modelling

  • Optima Malaria Modelling

  • Optima Nutrition Modelling

  • Optima Tuberculosis (TB) Modelling

  • The Optimise Study: Optimising Isolation, Quarantine and Distancing for COVID-19

Staff Members

  • Aimée Altermatt

    Aimée Altermatt
    Research Assistant

  • Alexander  Thomas

    Alexander Thomas
    Health Economic Modeller

  • Anna Palmer

    Anna Palmer
    Honorary Associate

  • Doctor Anna Bowring

    Doctor Anna Bowring
    Senior Research Officer

  • Anna Roberts

    Anna Roberts
    Senior Project Manager

  • Chris Seaman

    Chris Seaman
    PhD Student/Research Assistant

  • Professor David  Wilson

    Professor David Wilson
    Head of Infectious Disease Modelling; Co-Head, Strategy Insights and Impact

  • Doctor Debra  ten Brink

    Doctor Debra ten Brink
    Senior Research Officer

  • Dominic  Delport

    Dominic Delport
    Health modeller

  • Doctor Farah Houdroge

    Doctor Farah Houdroge
    Research Officer, Modelling & Biostatistics

  • Fenella McAndrew

    Fenella McAndrew
    Mathematical Modeller

  • Jacob Cumming

    Jacob Cumming
    Research Assistant

  • Doctor Katie Heath

    Doctor Katie Heath
    Senior Research Officer

  • Kelvin Burke

    Kelvin Burke
    Mathematical Modeller

  • Associate Professor Nick Scott

    Associate Professor Nick Scott
    Head, Modelling & Biostatistics

  • Nisaa  Wulan

    Nisaa Wulan
    Health Modeller

  • Phillip Luong

    Phillip Luong
    Mathematical Modeller

  • Doctor Rachel Sacks-Davis

    Doctor Rachel Sacks-Davis
    Senior Research Officer

  • Doctor Romesh Abeysuriya

    Doctor Romesh Abeysuriya
    Senior Research Officer – Computational Epidemic Modelling

  • Doctor Rowan Martin-Hughes

    Doctor Rowan Martin-Hughes
    Senior Research Officer

  • Doctor Sherrie Kelly

    Doctor Sherrie Kelly
    Honorary Staff Member

  • Doctor Tharindu Wickramaarachchi

    Doctor Tharindu Wickramaarachchi
    Mathematical Modeller

  • Thomas  Walsh

    Thomas Walsh
    Health Modeller

  • Doctor Yinzong Xiao

    Doctor Yinzong Xiao
    Research Officer; Mathematical Modeller in Health